Vineland, NJ 08360
Last Updated: 08/27/14 14:55:38 EDT
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Storm Summary and Projection:
Hurricane Summary POSTED: August 27, 2014 11:10 a.m. Cristobal Moving Northward, West of Bermuda Hurricane Cristobal, a Category 1 storm, is moving northward in the western Atlantic, between North Carolina and Bermuda. The system will continue to move on a generally northward heading today, then gradually turn to the right and accelerate northeastward tonight. On this trajectory the center of Cristobal will pass well to the west, north-northwest of Bermuda tonight, sparing the island from significant rainfall and strong winds. However, wind gusts could still be near 40 mph for a brief time tonight into Thursday morning as the system makes its closest approach, and rainfall amounts of 1-2 inches will be possible through Thursday morning. Along the East Coast, from the Southeast through New England, rough surf and rip currents will be the only impact felt from Cristobal. This danger will gradually diminish along the coast of Florida today while increasing for the Carolinas into the mid-Atlantic, eventually making its way up the coast into the Northeast tonight into Thursday. As Cristobal accelerates to the east and northeast late on Thursday, impacts along the coast will decrease just in time for Labor Day weekend. Elsewhere in the Atlantic Basin, we are watching two features for possible tropical development, one in the northern Gulf of Mexico and another a few hundred miles to the east of the Lesser Antilles, but neither disturbance is very well organized. The area of low pressure in the northwestern Gulf of Mexico is somewhat better organized today. The low is expected to move west-southwestward through tonight. There is a short window of opportunity for some development before the low moves ashore Thursday in South Texas. Southwest shear will be the inhibiting factor but warm water is a positive. Regardless of development, this feature will bring showers and thunderstorms to parts of southern and southeastern Texas today, and over much of South and East Texas Thursday. The tropical wave east of the Lesser Antilles remains very disorganized, and development is not expected anytime soon, if ever. It will bring showers to the Leeward Islands late this week. Looking farther down the road, some model guidance suggests that a tropical wave set to move off the coast of Africa late on Thursday may develop into a tropical cyclone over the weekend. Environmental conditions are expected to become more favorable for development in the eastern Atlantic, so we'll monitor this feature closely. By Senior Meteorologist Brian Wimer

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